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cms-style="strong-Bold">美股大跌意味美国经济差，全球权益资产均难独善其身。</font></font><font>根据DDM模型，资产价格反映着市场对未来现金流的定价，股市走势体现了投资者的经济预期，是经济的晴雨表。机构化程度更高、历史波动率更低的美股被普遍认为是相对成熟有效的市场，其走势与美国经济基本面息息相关。如上文所述，若美股出现持续性大跌，背后往往是美国宏观经济和微观盈利双双走向衰退。而美国经济具备全球重要性，与中国也有很高相关性，其经济衰退和股市动荡将通过国际贸易、金融市场等渠道传导至全球，届时全球经济和股市也会受到负向冲击。因此，历史上美国大跌时，欧美、亚太地区股市也难以独善其身，历史数据详见上文表1。</font>久久动漫app安卓版下载-久久动漫app最新安卓版v2.0-棋软收...桃子移植像素游戏大全-桃子移植像素游戏大全最新版-亿吾手...ios向日葵app下载官方下载网站版-ios向日葵app下载官方下...�金沙集团app最新版下载-金沙集团app最新版最新版V59.662.3...小黄鸭官方最新版下载-小黄鸭app最新版下载v1.1.6</p> <p style="text-align:center;"><img src="http://n.sinaimg.cn/sports/2_img/upload/96b8a0cc/214/w2048h1366/20250315/cd42-20a8ac3a8107c45639785638968bcd94.jpg"/></p><p><a rel="nofollow" href="/m/article/202503/0O5J5.shtml"><strong>瀛︽牎绉拌檺鐚嚧姝荤敺鐢熷湪鎺ュ彈蹇冪悊娌荤枟</strong></a></p><p>03鏈?7鏃?#12288;　隔夜LME铜上涨0.73%至9874.5美元/吨；<span id=futures_CU0><a href=http://finance.sina.com.cn/money/future/quote.html?code=CU0 class="keyword" target=_blank data-sudaclick="content_marketkeywords_p">沪铜</a></span><span id=quote_CU0></span>主力上涨0.32%至80370元/吨；国内现货进口亏损约550元/吨。宏观方面，美国2月零售销售环比0.2%，预期0.6%，前值由-0.9%大幅下修至-1.2%，这是自2021年7月以来的最大降幅，引发了人们对消费者支出放缓的担忧。特朗普采访时表示，将在4月2日征收广泛的对等关税，并针对特定行业征收额外关税，另外他提名美联储理事鲍曼担任美联储负责监管的副主席，市场预期监管料将放松。国内方面，中国6月新增社融3.3万亿元（前值2.07万亿），M2同比增速11.6%，但M1增速仅5.9%，显示政策宽松传导至实体仍滞后，压制需求预期。库存方面，LME库存下降2775吨至230975吨；comex铜增83.46吨至84850.76吨；SMM全国主流地区铜库存周一统计对比上周四下降0.65万吨至34，9万吨，较年内最高位下降了2.8万吨，较去年同期低4.64万吨。需求方面，部分贸易商受东南亚地区高升水高需求吸引，积极寻找冶炼厂出口FOB货源，但国内下游消费缺乏支撑。基本面来看，虽然国内消费缺乏支撑，且外围铜贸易流涌动，但在内外关税政策不确定（美调查铜贸易）及内外大幅倒挂和去库背景下，并不适合做空，而如刚果（金）Bisie锡矿停产消息（供给端的不安）恰恰给了多头布局机会，持仓的快速增仓显示本轮上行的仓促和迅速。短线仍宜偏强看待，但也不宜中线持仓，当前政策性溢价和风险同时存在，基本面供应端的支撑和需求掣肘也同时存在，去年上半年行情较难完全复制。向日葵app18站长统计樱桃视频直播官方版下载-樱桃视频直播手机最新版下载V1.8 ...羞羞的视频在线app下载_羞羞的视频在线app下载安装免费色谱免费下载高清图片-第104页-图行天下素材网好好吃饭真的能瘦吗饮食与减肥的真相!小黄人影视app下载-小黄人影视剧2025最新版本下载v1.3.0 ...</p> <p style="text-align:center;"><img src="http://n.sinaimg.cn/sports/2_img/upload/a5d4407e/384/w2048h1536/20250315/8230-986b1b4707b4780d32136b8e73380092.jpg"/></p><p><a rel="nofollow" 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