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href="?/p/pIC5ean2KX.shtml"><strong>缇庡浗鍚戞娲插鍥借闂槸鍚﹀彲渚涘簲楦¤泲</strong></a></p><p>03鏈?7鏃?#12288;　六、国内市场方面：关税波澜再起，短期情绪扰动，但上下方驱动均相对有限。近期市场关注焦点将更多在于宏观层面，中美互加关税之后，中国进口美棉成本增加，出口美国纺服利润下降，目前测算已经亏损，预计中国进口美棉及纺服出口美国比例均会进一步下降，对国内棉花消费冲击预计有限。从产业链角度来看，基本面再度恶化概率较低，但短期上行驱动偏弱。自1月中旬开始，国内棉花商业库存环比走弱，虽然目前国内棉花商业库存仍处于近年来同期高位，但2024/25年度国内棉花商业库存压力最高峰时刻已过，国内棉花库存压力将逐渐减弱。<span id=futures_CF0><a href=http://finance.sina.com.cn/money/future/quote.html?code=CF0 class="keyword" target=_blank data-sudaclick="content_marketkeywords_p">郑棉</a></span><span id=quote_CF0></span>短期虽无强有力上行支撑，但郑棉下行破前期低位概率同样较低。中长期来看，国内新棉即将开始种植，目前市场普遍预计2025年我国植棉面积同比基本小幅增加，增幅主要来自于新疆，整体增幅或1%左右，2025年国内棉花单产或将同比下降，因为2024年新棉种植期天气状况十分良好，2025年难以复制，预计2025年我国棉花产量也将同比下降，USDA2月展望论坛预计2025年中国产量为620.5万吨，同比下降8.1%，预估过于悲观，国内机构普遍预测降幅在5%以内，中长期棉价或有一定支撑。综合来看，预计短期郑棉偏弱震荡运行，中长期棉价重心或略有上移，需要用时间换空间。《木下凛凛子电影免费在线观看,精彩内容尽在眼前》-VILLPI...海角妈妈计划最新更新内容:详细解读新政策、实施效果及未...《timi天美传孟若羽》免费电影手机免费观看 - 桥矿影视西施无力偿还欠债被债主抓住:遭遇生活困境命运飘...海角社区全新资源解锁,尽享无限精彩体验 - 海角社区官网广西柳州莫菁门事件引发热议不雅艳照疯传引发社会关...</p> 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